Burnley vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1924 |
PNE
0 - 2
BUR
54%
24%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1924 |
BUR
0 - 0
CAR
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1924 |
TOT
1 - 0
BUR
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1924 |
BUR
4 - 1
ARS
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1924 |
BUR
2 - 2
TOT
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1924 |
EVE
1 - 0
WBA
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1924 |
BIR
2 - 2
EVE
45%
26%
30%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1924 |
ARS
0 - 1
EVE
46%
25%
28%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1924 |
EVE
4 - 2
TOT
63%
21%
17%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1924 |
EVE
3 - 1
ARS
62%
21%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |