Burnley vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1923 |
NOT
2 - 1
BUR
34%
29%
38%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1923 |
BUR
0 - 2
BIR
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1923 |
BIR
1 - 0
BUR
40%
28%
32%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1923 |
BUR
2 - 0
SUN
55%
22%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1923 |
SUN
3 - 1
BUR
62%
20%
17%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1923 |
EVE
2 - 1
NTT
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1923 |
PNE
2 - 2
EVE
49%
25%
25%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1923 |
EVE
1 - 0
PNE
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1923 |
ASV
3 - 0
EVE
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1923 |
SHE
0 - 1
EVE
54%
24%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |