Burnley vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1923 |
CAR
2 - 2
BUR
54%
24%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1923 |
EVE
1 - 0
BUR
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1923 |
BUR
1 - 5
CAR
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1923 |
BUR
0 - 2
HUR
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1923 |
HUR
2 - 0
BUR
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1923 |
EVE
1 - 1
BOL
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1923 |
EVE
1 - 0
BUR
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1923 |
BOL
0 - 2
EVE
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1923 |
EVE
5 - 1
SHE
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1923 |
EVE
0 - 0
OLD
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |