Burnley vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
12.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1922 |
MAC
2 - 0
BUR
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1922 |
LIV
2 - 1
BUR
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1922 |
BUR
5 - 2
MAC
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1922 |
BUR
1 - 1
LIV
64%
21%
16%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1922 |
BUR
4 - 2
WBA
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1922 |
EVE
1 - 1
SHE
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1922 |
HUR
1 - 2
EVE
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1922 |
SHE
1 - 0
EVE
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1922 |
EVE
6 - 2
HUR
65%
20%
16%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1922 |
EVE
0 - 0
PNE
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |