Burnley vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2005 |
LEE
2 - 0
BUR
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
BUR
1 - 0
LEI
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
LUT
2 - 3
BUR
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2005 |
BUR
2 - 1
MIL
55%
25%
21%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2005 |
BUR
1 - 0
HUL
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2005 |
LUT
4 - 1
CRE
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
CRE
1 - 2
STO
50%
26%
25%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
MIL
1 - 3
CRE
49%
25%
25%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2005 |
CRE
1 - 0
LEE
26%
27%
47%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
CRE
2 - 2
CRY
19%
23%
58%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | +1 |