Burnley vs Crawley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
5.8%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SHE
5 - 2
BUR
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
BUR
3 - 2
ROT
63%
23%
14%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BUR
2 - 1
REA
67%
21%
12%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
BUR
1 - 0
NOR
56%
25%
20%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SUN
2 - 4
BUR
28%
27%
45%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CRA
1 - 4
STA
38%
24%
38%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
CRA
48%
26%
27%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
COL
2 - 2
CRA
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CRA
3 - 2
MAN
25%
27%
49%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
CRA
5 - 2
AVI
71%
17%
13%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | +1 |