Burnley vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
12.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1963 |
IPS
3 - 1
BUR
42%
23%
35%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1963 |
BUR
3 - 1
BIR
69%
17%
14%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1963 |
ARS
2 - 3
BUR
45%
22%
33%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1963 |
LEY
0 - 1
BUR
20%
23%
58%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1963 |
BUR
0 - 1
MUD
63%
19%
18%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1963 |
CHL
0 - 0
WHU
48%
22%
30%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1963 |
CHL
7 - 0
OPA
67%
17%
16%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1963 |
SUN
0 - 1
CHL
53%
22%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1963 |
CHL
0 - 1
STO
65%
19%
16%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1963 |
CHL
2 - 2
LEE
64%
19%
17%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |