Burnley vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
10.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1961 |
BUR
2 - 0
SHW
63%
19%
18%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1961 |
SHW
0 - 0
BUR
55%
20%
24%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1961 |
BUR
1 - 1
BBU
75%
14%
11%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1961 |
FUL
0 - 1
BUR
37%
23%
40%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1961 |
BUR
3 - 4
SHW
63%
19%
19%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1961 |
CHL
3 - 2
BIR
61%
19%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1961 |
SHW
1 - 0
CHL
72%
15%
13%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1961 |
EVE
1 - 1
CHL
59%
20%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1961 |
CHL
2 - 2
BPO
63%
18%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1961 |
CHL
2 - 1
FUL
63%
17%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |