Burnley vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1956 |
LUT
2 - 3
BUR
50%
23%
26%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1956 |
BUR
1 - 2
WOL
39%
24%
36%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1956 |
MAC
1 - 3
BUR
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1956 |
BUR
0 - 1
ARS
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1956 |
BUR
2 - 1
CHA
50%
23%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1956 |
CHL
2 - 1
BPO
50%
23%
28%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1956 |
NEW
1 - 1
CHL
60%
19%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1956 |
CHL
6 - 1
EVE
61%
21%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1956 |
SHE
2 - 1
CHL
50%
21%
28%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1956 |
CHL
0 - 0
LUT
58%
21%
22%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |