Burnley vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1954 |
MAC
0 - 0
BUR
50%
23%
27%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1954 |
CHL
1 - 0
BUR
55%
22%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1954 |
BUR
1 - 0
CAR
60%
21%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1954 |
SUN
2 - 1
BUR
55%
21%
24%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1954 |
BUR
1 - 1
BOL
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1954 |
CHL
3 - 2
BOL
56%
21%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1954 |
CHL
1 - 0
BUR
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1954 |
LEI
1 - 1
CHL
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1954 |
CHL
1 - 2
NEW
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1954 |
MAC
1 - 1
CHL
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |