Burnley vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1923 |
NEW
2 - 0
BUR
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1923 |
BUR
3 - 2
NEW
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1923 |
WHU
0 - 0
BUR
37%
29%
34%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1923 |
BUR
5 - 1
WHU
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1923 |
BUR
1 - 2
BBU
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1923 |
CHL
1 - 2
PNE
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1923 |
PNE
1 - 1
CHL
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1923 |
CHL
2 - 0
MID
40%
27%
34%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1923 |
MID
2 - 0
CHL
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1923 |
BOL
4 - 0
CHL
65%
21%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |