Burnley vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
12.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1922 |
NTT
1 - 0
BUR
29%
30%
41%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1922 |
BUR
8 - 2
NTT
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1922 |
BBU
2 - 1
BUR
53%
23%
24%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1922 |
BUR
3 - 1
BBU
66%
19%
15%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1922 |
BUR
0 - 0
NEW
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1922 |
CHL
0 - 1
PNE
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1922 |
PNE
2 - 0
CHL
48%
27%
25%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1922 |
SUN
1 - 1
CHL
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1922 |
CHL
1 - 3
SUN
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1922 |
SHE
0 - 2
CHL
47%
27%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |