Burnley vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1920 |
MID
0 - 0
BUR
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1920 |
BUR
2 - 1
MID
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1920 |
BUR
3 - 0
HUR
66%
18%
15%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1920 |
BRA
2 - 0
BUR
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1920 |
HUR
1 - 0
BUR
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1920 |
CHL
1 - 2
MUD
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1920 |
MUD
3 - 1
CHL
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1920 |
BOL
3 - 1
CHL
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1920 |
CHL
1 - 1
DER
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1920 |
CHL
1 - 0
BOL
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |