Burnley vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
14.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1915 |
BUR
3 - 2
BBU
44%
24%
32%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1915 |
EVE
0 - 2
BUR
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1915 |
BUR
3 - 0
MUD
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1915 |
BOL
3 - 1
BUR
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1915 |
BUR
2 - 0
BRA
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1915 |
CHL
3 - 0
SUN
34%
24%
42%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1915 |
CHL
2 - 0
BRA
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1915 |
CHL
2 - 0
EVE
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1915 |
CHL
1 - 3
BBU
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1915 |
NEW
2 - 0
CHL
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |