Burnley vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
20.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1956 |
CHL
2 - 0
BUR
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1956 |
SUN
2 - 1
BUR
54%
22%
24%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1956 |
BUR
2 - 1
CHA
51%
22%
27%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1956 |
BOL
3 - 0
BUR
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1956 |
BUR
3 - 0
WOL
37%
24%
38%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1956 |
CAR
2 - 3
ARS
42%
23%
35%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1956 |
BPO
3 - 1
CAR
73%
16%
11%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1956 |
CAR
1 - 0
EVE
56%
22%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1956 |
LUT
3 - 0
CAR
59%
22%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1956 |
CAR
1 - 0
SUN
52%
22%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |