Burnley vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
18.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1954 |
SUN
2 - 1
BUR
55%
21%
24%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1954 |
BUR
1 - 1
BOL
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1954 |
BUR
2 - 1
HUR
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1954 |
BOL
0 - 0
BUR
57%
21%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1954 |
ASV
5 - 1
BUR
57%
21%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1954 |
CAR
2 - 2
SHW
48%
23%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1954 |
CAR
0 - 1
BPO
41%
24%
36%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1954 |
LIV
0 - 1
CAR
58%
21%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1954 |
BPO
4 - 1
CAR
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1954 |
CAR
2 - 0
WBA
38%
24%
38%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |