Burnley vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
21.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1927 |
EVE
4 - 1
BUR
58%
20%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1927 |
BUR
0 - 1
HUR
49%
22%
29%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1927 |
TOT
5 - 0
BUR
51%
22%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1927 |
BUR
4 - 0
MUD
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1927 |
NEW
1 - 1
BUR
64%
18%
18%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1927 |
CAR
0 - 1
BCF
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1927 |
SUN
0 - 2
CAR
64%
18%
18%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1927 |
CAR
2 - 1
ASV
46%
24%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1927 |
SHE
3 - 4
CAR
58%
20%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1927 |
CAR
4 - 4
DER
54%
24%
23%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |