Burnley vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1926 |
BUR
4 - 1
CAR
50%
23%
26%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1926 |
TOT
0 - 2
BUR
56%
21%
23%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1926 |
SHE
6 - 1
BUR
65%
18%
17%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1926 |
BUR
2 - 2
BCF
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1926 |
BIR
1 - 7
BUR
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1926 |
BUR
4 - 1
CAR
50%
23%
26%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1926 |
MUD
1 - 0
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1926 |
CAR
2 - 2
LIV
52%
25%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1926 |
NOT
2 - 4
CAR
37%
28%
36%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1926 |
CAR
0 - 1
BOL
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |