Burnley vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1926 |
TOT
0 - 2
BUR
56%
21%
23%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1926 |
SHE
6 - 1
BUR
65%
18%
17%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1926 |
BUR
2 - 2
BCF
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1926 |
BIR
1 - 7
BUR
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1926 |
BUR
1 - 2
MAC
49%
22%
29%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1926 |
MUD
1 - 0
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1926 |
CAR
2 - 2
LIV
52%
25%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1926 |
NOT
2 - 4
CAR
37%
28%
36%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1926 |
CAR
0 - 1
BOL
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1926 |
CAR
0 - 1
SHE
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |