Burnley vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
18.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1929 |
MUD
1 - 0
BUR
39%
23%
38%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1929 |
BUR
0 - 1
LEI
57%
20%
23%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1929 |
ASV
4 - 2
BUR
57%
19%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1929 |
SHE
10 - 0
BUR
55%
20%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1929 |
BUR
3 - 0
CAR
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1929 |
SHE
6 - 1
BCF
65%
18%
17%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1929 |
BCF
4 - 1
CAR
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1929 |
MAC
6 - 4
BCF
68%
17%
15%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1929 |
BCF
2 - 0
NEW
55%
21%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1929 |
WHU
2 - 3
BCF
62%
20%
18%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |