Burnley vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1927 |
ARS
4 - 1
BUR
52%
22%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1927 |
BBU
2 - 1
BUR
53%
21%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1927 |
BUR
1 - 1
LEI
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1927 |
SHW
2 - 1
BUR
46%
23%
31%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1927 |
LEE
0 - 2
BUR
40%
24%
36%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1927 |
LIV
5 - 1
BCF
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1927 |
BCF
5 - 1
ARS
52%
23%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1927 |
BCF
1 - 2
DER
62%
21%
18%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1927 |
SHE
2 - 0
BCF
65%
19%
16%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1927 |
BCF
3 - 2
ARS
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |