Burnley vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
16.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1924 |
NTT
0 - 0
BUR
37%
27%
37%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1924 |
BUR
2 - 1
LIV
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1924 |
NEW
3 - 0
BUR
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1924 |
BUR
1 - 1
SHE
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1924 |
WHU
2 - 0
BUR
42%
29%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1924 |
BCF
1 - 1
PNE
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1924 |
CAR
4 - 1
BCF
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1924 |
BCF
3 - 0
SUN
28%
27%
45%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1924 |
EVE
0 - 0
BCF
68%
18%
14%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1924 |
BCF
2 - 1
NOT
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |