Burnley vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1914 |
SHW
2 - 6
BUR
69%
18%
13%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1914 |
BBU
0 - 0
BUR
75%
15%
10%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1913 |
BUR
0 - 0
WBA
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1913 |
SUN
1 - 1
BUR
72%
17%
11%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1913 |
BUR
0 - 1
SUN
34%
25%
42%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1914 |
BOL
6 - 1
MUD
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1914 |
BOL
3 - 0
TOT
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 1913 |
SHW
1 - 1
BOL
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1913 |
OLD
2 - 0
BOL
46%
26%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1913 |
WBA
1 - 1
BOL
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |