Burnley vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
16.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1965 |
EVE
2 - 1
BUR
62%
19%
19%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1964 |
FUL
0 - 1
BUR
43%
23%
33%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1964 |
BUR
4 - 0
FUL
66%
20%
15%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1964 |
BUR
3 - 1
SHE
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1964 |
BPO
2 - 4
BUR
42%
24%
34%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1965 |
BIR
1 - 0
TOT
28%
22%
50%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1964 |
WHU
2 - 1
BIR
70%
16%
14%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1964 |
BIR
2 - 1
WHU
43%
24%
33%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1964 |
MUD
1 - 1
BIR
77%
14%
10%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1964 |
BIR
1 - 1
NTT
44%
23%
33%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |