Burnley vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
14.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1960 |
PNE
2 - 3
BUR
53%
22%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1960 |
WBA
0 - 2
BUR
57%
21%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1960 |
BUR
5 - 0
PNE
61%
20%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1960 |
BUR
1 - 2
CAR
70%
17%
13%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1960 |
BUR
1 - 3
MAC
66%
18%
17%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1960 |
BIR
2 - 0
ARS
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1960 |
BIR
1 - 3
PNE
57%
20%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1960 |
ARS
2 - 0
BIR
59%
20%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1960 |
FUL
2 - 1
BIR
55%
21%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1960 |
BIR
3 - 1
WBA
54%
21%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |