Burnley vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
21.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1957 |
BUR
3 - 1
NTT
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1957 |
TOT
3 - 1
BUR
70%
17%
13%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1957 |
PNE
2 - 1
BUR
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1957 |
BUR
2 - 2
WBA
53%
23%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1957 |
BUR
2 - 0
PNE
43%
24%
33%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1957 |
BIR
0 - 0
TOT
54%
22%
25%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1957 |
BIR
1 - 4
NEW
55%
21%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1957 |
BIR
0 - 2
NTT
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1957 |
CHL
5 - 1
BIR
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1957 |
NTT
1 - 1
BIR
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |