Burnley vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1949 |
BPO
2 - 0
BUR
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1949 |
BUR
0 - 0
BPO
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1949 |
BOL
0 - 1
BUR
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1949 |
BUR
0 - 0
ARS
36%
27%
38%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1949 |
MID
4 - 1
BUR
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1949 |
DER
4 - 1
BIR
78%
14%
8%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1949 |
BIR
2 - 2
DER
24%
25%
51%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1949 |
BIR
1 - 0
STO
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1949 |
CHL
3 - 0
BIR
72%
16%
11%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1949 |
ASV
1 - 1
BIR
75%
16%
10%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |