Burnley vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1925 |
LEE
0 - 2
BUR
41%
28%
31%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1925 |
BBU
0 - 3
BUR
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1925 |
BUR
1 - 0
PNE
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1925 |
EVE
3 - 2
BUR
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1924 |
HUR
2 - 0
BUR
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1925 |
BIR
3 - 0
PNE
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1925 |
CAR
1 - 0
BIR
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1925 |
BIR
2 - 1
SUN
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1925 |
BOL
3 - 0
BIR
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1924 |
EVE
2 - 1
BIR
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |