Burnley vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1924 |
BUR
4 - 0
WBA
60%
22%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1924 |
WBA
0 - 3
BUR
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1924 |
PNE
5 - 0
BUR
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1923 |
BUR
1 - 0
PNE
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1923 |
MID
3 - 0
BUR
49%
26%
26%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1924 |
NTT
1 - 1
BIR
46%
26%
29%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1924 |
BIR
0 - 2
NTT
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1924 |
BIR
3 - 2
TOT
42%
29%
30%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1924 |
BOL
1 - 1
BIR
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1923 |
TOT
1 - 1
BIR
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |