Burnley vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1901 |
STO
3 - 2
BUR
26%
26%
49%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1901 |
BUR
4 - 0
BPO
67%
19%
15%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1901 |
MID
0 - 0
BUR
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1901 |
ARS
3 - 1
BUR
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1901 |
BAR
2 - 1
BUR
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1901 |
ARS
1 - 0
BIR
34%
26%
41%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1901 |
BIR
2 - 1
MID
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1901 |
BUR
0 - 2
BIR
23%
23%
54%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1901 |
GLO
2 - 0
BIR
30%
26%
45%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1901 |
BIR
2 - 1
WAL
72%
16%
11%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |