Burnley vs Barnsley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
14.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2019 |
HUR
1 - 2
BUR
27%
27%
47%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2018 |
BUR
2 - 0
WHU
29%
25%
45%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
BUR
1 - 5
EVE
23%
25%
52%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
ARS
3 - 1
BUR
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
TOT
1 - 0
BUR
79%
14%
7%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
LUT
0 - 0
BAR
55%
22%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 1
CHA
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 0
POS
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
BPO
0 - 1
BAR
44%
25%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 1
OPA
41%
26%
32%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |