Burnley vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1976 |
BUR
3 - 1
SHE
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1976 |
WOL
3 - 2
BUR
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1976 |
BUR
1 - 0
LEI
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1976 |
MID
1 - 1
BUR
50%
26%
25%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1976 |
BUR
0 - 1
IPS
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1976 |
ASV
1 - 1
WOL
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1976 |
ASV
2 - 1
MUD
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1976 |
SHE
2 - 1
ASV
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1976 |
MAC
2 - 1
ASV
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1976 |
ASV
0 - 2
QPR
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |