Burnley vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
14.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1963 |
TOT
3 - 2
BUR
71%
15%
14%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1963 |
BUR
1 - 0
WOL
54%
21%
26%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1963 |
STO
4 - 4
BUR
28%
24%
48%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1963 |
BUR
1 - 2
SHE
65%
19%
16%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1963 |
BBU
1 - 2
BUR
49%
22%
30%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1963 |
ASV
4 - 0
MUD
40%
24%
36%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1963 |
FUL
2 - 0
ASV
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1963 |
ASV
3 - 0
BOL
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1963 |
SHW
1 - 0
ASV
69%
17%
14%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1963 |
ASV
2 - 1
ARS
39%
23%
38%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |