Burnley vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
15.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1963 |
BUR
1 - 0
BBU
73%
16%
11%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1963 |
TOT
1 - 1
BUR
73%
15%
13%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1963 |
MAC
2 - 5
BUR
36%
23%
41%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1963 |
BUR
1 - 3
LIV
68%
17%
14%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1963 |
BPO
0 - 0
BUR
31%
24%
46%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1963 |
ASV
0 - 2
EVE
48%
23%
29%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1963 |
BPO
4 - 0
ASV
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1963 |
FUL
1 - 0
ASV
46%
24%
30%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1963 |
ASV
4 - 0
BIR
65%
19%
17%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1963 |
LEY
0 - 2
ASV
29%
25%
46%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |