Burnley vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
11.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1961 |
BPO
0 - 0
BUR
39%
24%
38%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1961 |
TOT
3 - 0
BUR
74%
15%
12%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1961 |
HSV
4 - 1
BUR
41%
22%
37%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1961 |
BUR
4 - 4
CHL
75%
14%
10%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1961 |
BUR
2 - 0
SHW
63%
19%
18%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1961 |
EVE
1 - 2
ASV
56%
21%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1961 |
BIR
1 - 1
ASV
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1961 |
ASV
2 - 2
ARS
54%
21%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1961 |
NEW
2 - 1
ASV
58%
20%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1961 |
ASV
3 - 0
WRE
80%
11%
8%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |