Burnley vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
23%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1958 |
OPA
4 - 2
BUR
53%
22%
25%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1958 |
BUR
0 - 2
WOL
37%
24%
39%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1958 |
MUD
1 - 3
BUR
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1958 |
BUR
0 - 2
NTT
59%
21%
21%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1958 |
WHU
1 - 0
BUR
49%
23%
28%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1958 |
ASV
2 - 0
PNE
36%
24%
41%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1958 |
LEI
6 - 3
ASV
62%
18%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1958 |
ASV
2 - 4
EVE
60%
20%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1958 |
LUT
2 - 1
ASV
55%
21%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1958 |
ASV
2 - 1
BOL
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |