Burnley vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1957 |
EVE
1 - 1
BUR
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1957 |
BUR
6 - 0
SUN
52%
22%
26%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1957 |
LUT
3 - 2
BUR
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1957 |
BUR
0 - 2
NEW
49%
23%
28%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1957 |
CHL
6 - 1
BUR
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1957 |
MUD
4 - 0
ASV
87%
9%
5%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1957 |
ASV
4 - 3
NEW
55%
21%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1957 |
CHL
4 - 2
ASV
62%
20%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1957 |
MUD
4 - 1
ASV
78%
14%
8%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1957 |
ARS
4 - 0
ASV
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |