Burnley vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
23.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1953 |
CHL
2 - 1
BUR
43%
24%
33%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1953 |
BUR
2 - 1
SHE
60%
20%
19%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1953 |
MAC
3 - 2
BUR
42%
24%
34%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1953 |
BUR
3 - 0
CAR
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1953 |
ARS
2 - 5
BUR
75%
15%
11%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1953 |
ASV
5 - 3
MID
59%
20%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1953 |
SHW
3 - 1
ASV
53%
22%
26%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1953 |
ASV
2 - 2
BOL
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1953 |
MUD
1 - 0
ASV
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1953 |
ASV
1 - 2
NEW
59%
20%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |