Burnley vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
32.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1952 |
BOL
1 - 2
BUR
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1952 |
BUR
3 - 2
OPA
38%
25%
36%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1952 |
MUD
1 - 3
BUR
75%
15%
10%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1952 |
BUR
1 - 1
CHL
48%
25%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1952 |
BPO
4 - 2
BUR
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1952 |
ASV
1 - 0
PNE
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1952 |
STO
1 - 4
ASV
41%
25%
35%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1952 |
ASV
0 - 0
MAC
71%
16%
13%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1952 |
LIV
0 - 2
ASV
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1952 |
ASV
1 - 0
MID
62%
19%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |