Burnley vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
35.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1950 |
SUN
1 - 1
BUR
66%
19%
14%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1950 |
BUR
5 - 1
CHA
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1950 |
TOT
1 - 0
BUR
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1950 |
BUR
1 - 1
STO
45%
26%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1950 |
WBA
2 - 1
BUR
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1950 |
ASV
1 - 1
ARS
45%
24%
31%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1950 |
HUR
4 - 2
ASV
41%
25%
34%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1950 |
ASV
3 - 0
NEW
54%
23%
24%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1950 |
ASV
2 - 3
TOT
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1950 |
BPO
1 - 1
ASV
49%
24%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |