Burnley vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
20.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1928 |
BCF
2 - 1
BUR
50%
21%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1928 |
BUR
4 - 3
NEW
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1928 |
BUR
2 - 1
SHE
61%
19%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1928 |
BUR
3 - 3
WHU
60%
19%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1928 |
CAR
7 - 0
BUR
44%
23%
33%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1928 |
ASV
1 - 1
NEW
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1928 |
WHU
4 - 1
ASV
59%
20%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1928 |
ASV
3 - 1
LIV
62%
20%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1928 |
ASV
0 - 0
MUD
65%
19%
17%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1928 |
LEE
4 - 1
ASV
46%
23%
31%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |