Burnley vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
15.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1921 |
BBU
1 - 3
BUR
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1921 |
BUR
4 - 1
BBU
66%
19%
16%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1921 |
PNE
0 - 3
BUR
50%
25%
25%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1920 |
SHE
1 - 1
BUR
41%
28%
32%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1920 |
BUR
6 - 0
SHE
71%
17%
12%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1921 |
EVE
1 - 1
ASV
58%
21%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1921 |
ASV
1 - 3
EVE
67%
18%
15%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1921 |
ASV
0 - 2
LIV
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1920 |
MUD
1 - 3
ASV
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1920 |
ASV
3 - 4
MUD
66%
18%
16%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |