Burnley vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
22.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1920 |
ASV
2 - 2
BUR
70%
18%
13%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1920 |
MID
4 - 0
BUR
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1919 |
BUR
1 - 1
PNE
73%
16%
11%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1919 |
NEW
0 - 0
BUR
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1919 |
BUR
5 - 3
MID
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1920 |
ASV
2 - 2
BUR
70%
18%
13%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1920 |
NEW
2 - 0
ASV
44%
25%
32%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1919 |
OLD
0 - 3
ASV
45%
24%
31%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1919 |
ASV
5 - 2
CHL
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1919 |
ASV
3 - 0
OLD
69%
18%
14%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |