Burnley vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
28.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1915 |
SHE
1 - 0
BUR
60%
22%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1915 |
BUR
4 - 0
MID
57%
21%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1915 |
BUR
3 - 1
TOT
64%
19%
16%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1915 |
BUR
1 - 2
MAC
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1915 |
BRA
0 - 0
BUR
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1915 |
ASV
0 - 0
BRA
70%
18%
13%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1915 |
ASV
1 - 5
EVE
70%
18%
13%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1915 |
CHL
3 - 1
ASV
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1915 |
WBA
2 - 0
ASV
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1915 |
ASV
0 - 0
SHW
66%
18%
16%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |