Burnley vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
34.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1913 |
LIV
1 - 1
BUR
60%
21%
18%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1913 |
BUR
1 - 0
NEW
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1913 |
PNE
2 - 1
BUR
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1913 |
BUR
3 - 1
TOT
61%
20%
19%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1913 |
BUR
1 - 2
MUD
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1913 |
ASV
3 - 1
MUD
64%
19%
17%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1913 |
OLD
0 - 1
ASV
37%
26%
36%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1913 |
ASV
1 - 2
CHL
81%
12%
7%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1913 |
BOL
3 - 0
ASV
42%
25%
33%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1913 |
ASV
2 - 0
SHW
70%
16%
14%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |