Burnley vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1975 |
BUR
0 - 0
STO
51%
25%
24%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
MAC
2 - 0
BUR
53%
23%
23%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1975 |
BUR
3 - 2
TOT
55%
23%
21%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1975 |
EVE
1 - 1
BUR
52%
24%
24%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1975 |
CUM
4 - 2
BUR
29%
27%
44%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1975 |
WHU
1 - 0
ARS
57%
22%
21%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1975 |
ARS
1 - 0
TOT
47%
27%
26%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1975 |
NEW
3 - 1
ARS
46%
26%
28%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
QPR
0 - 0
ARS
46%
26%
28%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1975 |
ARS
1 - 2
LEE
35%
29%
36%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | -1 |