Burnley vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
30.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1955 |
WBA
2 - 2
BUR
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1955 |
BUR
0 - 1
NEW
52%
22%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1955 |
EVE
1 - 1
BUR
49%
23%
28%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1955 |
BUR
2 - 0
MAC
52%
23%
26%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1954 |
PNE
0 - 1
BUR
70%
17%
13%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1955 |
ARS
2 - 0
PNE
57%
20%
24%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1955 |
TOT
0 - 1
ARS
52%
22%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1955 |
ARS
2 - 2
WBA
59%
19%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1954 |
CHL
1 - 1
ARS
56%
21%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1954 |
ARS
1 - 0
CHL
68%
17%
15%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |