Burnley vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
41.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1950 |
BUR
3 - 2
MID
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1950 |
EVE
1 - 1
BUR
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1950 |
BUR
1 - 0
CHA
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1950 |
LIV
0 - 1
BUR
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1950 |
MAC
1 - 0
BUR
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1950 |
STO
2 - 5
ARS
41%
25%
34%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1950 |
ARS
2 - 0
OPA
60%
20%
20%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1950 |
ARS
2 - 0
LIV
68%
17%
15%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1950 |
WOL
3 - 0
ARS
58%
21%
21%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1950 |
ARS
4 - 2
NEW
68%
18%
15%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |