Burnley vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
18.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1925 |
BOL
4 - 2
BUR
69%
18%
14%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1925 |
WHU
2 - 0
BUR
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1925 |
BUR
1 - 1
BOL
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1925 |
BUR
0 - 0
NOT
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1925 |
BUR
4 - 0
LEI
65%
19%
16%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1925 |
ARS
1 - 1
LIV
42%
28%
30%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1925 |
LEI
0 - 1
ARS
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1925 |
MUD
0 - 1
ARS
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1925 |
ARS
2 - 2
LEI
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1925 |
ARS
0 - 1
TOT
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |