Burnley vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
10.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1922 |
BOL
0 - 1
BUR
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1922 |
BUR
1 - 2
BBU
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1922 |
BBU
3 - 2
BUR
52%
24%
24%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1922 |
ARS
0 - 0
BUR
38%
28%
35%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1922 |
ASV
2 - 0
BUR
57%
22%
21%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1922 |
NEW
3 - 1
ARS
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1922 |
ARS
2 - 1
NEW
52%
27%
22%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1922 |
ARS
0 - 0
BUR
38%
28%
35%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1922 |
ARS
1 - 0
CHL
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1921 |
CHL
0 - 2
ARS
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |